Table 2 Parameters and input data used by LiST and Spectrum-Malaria in projections for DRC and Zambia
Parameter (2015, unless otherwise indicated) | DRC | Zambia | Data sources & definitions | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spectrum-Malaria | LiST | Spectrum-Malaria | LiST | Spectrum-Malaria | LiST | |
Population at malaria riska | 97.1% | 91% | 100% | 98% | All-age population living where PfPR among 2鈥�9听years >0 [2, 19] | Women exposed to P. falciparum malaria [50] |
Population 0鈥�4听years (including children living not at malaria risk) | 12,373,927 | 13,682,392 | 2,848,069 | 2,888,817 | United Nations Population Division [51] | |
Index for seasonality in malaria transmission | 0.36 | NA | 1.64 | NA | Coefficient of variation in EIR over a year, defined as the standard deviation divided by the year-average of monthly EIR [34]; country estimates from Malaria Atlas Project [2, 19] | |
Prevalence of P. falciparum infection in children 2鈥�9听years, average over 2000鈥�2002 | 64% | NA | 35% | NA | Malaria Atlas Project [19] | 听 |
Malaria deaths in children 0鈥�59听months (% of all-cause deaths) | 33,038 | 47,473 (16%) | 2734 | 2723 (5.9%) | WHO ( and [1]) | WHO |
All-cause under-5 deaths | NA | 298,200 | NA | 45,916 | NA | UN Inter-Agency Group for Child Mortality Estimation [20] |
Malaria deaths in 5鈥�14听years | 3258 | NA | 2226 | NA | WHO [1]; share of 5鈥�14 versus 15+ years as for malaria cases [2, 19] | NA |
Malaria deaths in 15+ years | 2936 | NA | 2074 | NA | 听 | |
Malaria cases i.e. disease episodes in 0鈥�4听years | 8,231,156 | NA | 1,188,935 | NA | WHO [1]; the share of 0鈥�4听years in WHO鈥檚 all age estimate taken from Malaria Atlas Project [2, 19] | NA |