Predicting high risk births with contraceptive prevalence and contraceptive method-mix in an ecologic analysis

Table 2 Estimated associations between birth risk factors and mCPR for (Model 1) ordinary least squares average across surveys with only mCPR; (Model 2) for mCPR change adjusted by method-mix; (Model 3) hierarchical model for change in mCPR within country adjusted for method-mix

听	听	Mother鈥檚 Age (%)			Birth Spacing (%)				Birth Order (%)
听	听	< 18听years	18鈥�34听years	鈮� 35听years	< 18 mo.	18鈥�23 mo.	24鈥�35 mo.	鈮� 36 mo.	First	2nd to 4th	5th or later
(Model 1) 尾 mCPR (for 10% change)	Est	0.010	0.050	鈭�0.080	0.020	鈭�0.050	鈭�0.170	0.130	0.140	0.090	鈭�0.220
	SE	0.020	0.010	0.010	0.020	0.010	0.010	0.010	0.010	0.010	0.010
	p	0.676	< 0.001	< 0.001	0.804	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001
(Model 2) 尾 mCPR (for 10% change)	Est	0.020	0.000	鈭�0.040	鈭�0.090	鈭�0.110	鈭�0.140	0.070	0.100	0.060	鈭�0.140
	SE	0.020	0.000	0.010	0.020	0.010	0.010	0.010	0.010	0.000	0.020
	p	0.837	0.965	0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001
(Model 3) 尾 mCPR (for 10% change)	Est	鈭�0.010	0.010	鈭�0.060	鈭�0.110	鈭�0.100	鈭�0.120	0.070	0.090	0.060	鈭�0.140
	SE	0.020	0.000	0.010	0.020	0.010	0.010	0.010	0.010	0.000	0.020
	p	0.300	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001	< 0.001

ISSN: 1471-2458