- Research
- Published:
Association between pre-existing chronic conditions and severity of first SARS-CoV-2 infection symptoms among adults living in Canada: a population-based survey analysis from January 2020 to August 2022
樱花视频 volume听25, Article听number:听981 (2025)
Abstract
Background
Individuals living with chronic conditions (CC) typically have a higher risk of more severe outcomes when exposed to infection. Although many studies have investigated the relationship between CCs and COVID-19 severity, they are generally limited to clinical or hospitalized populations. There is a need to estimate the impact of pre-existing CCs on the severity of acute SARS-CoV-2 infection symptoms among the general population.
Methods
Data from the Canadian COVID-19 Antibody and Health Survey 鈥 Cycle 2, a population-based cross-sectional probability survey across 10 provinces capturing the COVID-19 experiences of respondents from January 2020 to August 2022, were used to assess whether pre-existing CCs increased the odds of more severe self-reported infection symptoms among adults living in Canada. Multivariable regression modelling identified which CCs were independently associated with more severe infection symptoms after adjusting for sex, age at infection, and other significant covariates.
Results
Chronic lung disease (aOR鈥=鈥1.64, 95% CI: 1.09, 2.46), high blood pressure (aOR鈥=鈥1.35, 95% CI: 1.13, 1.62), weakened immune system (aOR鈥=鈥1.46, 95% CI: 1.08, 1.98), chronic fatigue syndrome or fibromyalgia (aOR鈥=鈥2.20, 95% CI: 1.39, 3.50), and arthritis (aOR鈥=鈥1.28, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.56) were associated with a higher odds of more severe infection, whereas osteoporosis (aOR鈥=鈥0.58, 95% CI: 0.39, 0.87) was associated with a lower odds. Limiting modelling to adults with confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infections affected some of the variables retained and adjusted associations.
Conclusion
Our findings contribute to a growing evidence base of associations between pre-existing CCs and adverse outcomes after SARS-CoV-2 infection. Identifying factors associated with more severe infection allows for more targeted prevention strategies and early interventions that can minimize the impact of infection.
Background
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), was declared a global pandemic on March 11, 2020 by the World Health Organization and by March 2023, it was conservatively estimated that around 76% of the Canadian population had been infected [1, 2]. Since the beginning of the outbreak, the daily lives of people have been affected by societal, economic, and public health preventive measures such as use of face masks, physical distancing, quarantines, and lockdowns [3,4,5].
In addition to the indirect effects of the pandemic, SARS-CoV-2鈥檚 acute effect varies widely with respect to the types and severity of symptoms experienced [6]. Among adults in Canada, the most reported acute symptoms are fatigue, fever, coughing, and sore throat, but their severity and impact on daily life is less clear [7]. Those living with chronic conditions (CC) are at a higher risk of more severe outcomes from infectious diseases in general, and the research is growing for SARS-CoV-2 infections specifically [8]. Multiple studies have shown that pre-existing cardiovascular disease (CVD) [9,10,11], diabetes [12,13,14], mental illness [15, 16], neurological disease [17,18,19], musculoskeletal disease [20], and other CCs [21,22,23] are associated with worse COVID-19 outcomes. Conversely, those with pre-existing respiratory diseases [24,25,26], fibromyalgia [27], and bowel disease (BD) [28] do not seem to be at increased risk of a more severe infection. However, most studies have only evaluated severe outcomes, like death, in clinical or hospitalized populations, leaving a knowledge gap about the relationship in the general population that experience a SARS-CoV-2 infection without seeking healthcare services. Identifying which chronic conditions put community dwelling adults at increased risk of more severe infections assists in identifying priority populations for targeted prevention strategies (e.g., masking, vaccinations) and early post-infection interventions (e.g., pharmaceuticals).
In addition, existing studies examining the association between pre-existing CCs and severity of a SARS-CoV-2 infection often fail to account for the temporality of important variables. They often are unable to distinguish whether participants had a SARS-CoV-2 infection before or after their CC diagnosis. Additionally, factors such as number of COVID-19 vaccine doses received prior to infection, time since last vaccination prior to infection, and the dominant variant at time of infection are often not considered despite their potential to greatly influence the relationship between pre-existing CCs and the severity of COVID-19.
Cycle 2 of the population-based Canadian COVID-19 Antibody and Health Survey (CCAHS-2) provides a unique opportunity to assess the impact of a SARS-CoV-2 infection on individuals with pre-existing CCs, including those with suspected infections, while accounting for the temporality of key confounders. Using date information provided by the respondents for their vaccines, first SARS-CoV-2 infection, and CC diagnoses, we are able to appropriately sequence events in time and more accurately measure the effect of pre-existing CCs, vaccination status, and dominant variant on severity of SARS-CoV-2 infections. Although other large scale COVID-19 surveys are available, we are unaware of any studies that utilize these data to explore this specific relationship [29,30,31]. Using CCAHS-2, we aimed to identify pre-existing CCs associated with more severe acute first SARS-CoV-2 infection symptoms in the Canadian adult population self-reporting a confirmed or suspected infection by August 2022.
Methods
Study sample and participants
CCAHS-2, a population-based cross-sectional probability survey, was conducted to characterize and estimate the burden of COVID-19 among adults (aged 18 years and older) living in private households across Canada鈥檚 10 provinces. Self-reported information was collected from April to August 2022 using an electronic questionnaire (EQ) specifically developed for the CCAHS-2 through a collaboration between the Public Health Agency of Canada, Statistics Canada, and the COVID-19 Immunity Task Force. Of the 105,998 adults invited to participate, 32,527 (30.7%) completed at least part of the EQ, and 26,859 (25.3%) agreed to share their data with the Public Health Agency of Canada. The response rate for the data used in this study (25.3%) is better than other COVID-19-related national surveys [29,30,31]. Statistics Canada conducted data validation during and after data collection by comparing both the collected and derived data to comparable Canadian and international data sources to ensure consistency. To mitigate non-response bias, Statistics Canada used characteristics available for both respondents and non-respondents in logistic regression models to identify variables which explained most of the non-response. Variables highly correlated with response or non-response included age group, education, income, census metropolitan area (CMA)/non-CMA, dwelling type, and household size. Based on the modeling results, homogeneous response groups were created and non-response adjustments were applied within these groups to adjust the survey weights. The application of these adjusted weights during analyses helps to minimize non-response bias by accounting for identified differences between respondents and non-respondents. More details about the survey design and the full questionnaire are available on the Statistics Canada website [32].
We restricted our analyses to participants that self-reported a confirmed or suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection. By including suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection cases, we were able to account for the population who did not have access to testing or chose not to be tested. A sensitivity analysis was conducted using only participants that self-reported a confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Severity of infection
Our outcome of interest, severity of first infection, was captured as follows: no symptoms; mild symptoms 鈥 didn鈥檛 affect my daily life; moderate symptoms 鈥 some effect on my daily life; and severe symptoms 鈥 significant effect on my daily life. Using additional information on hospitalization due to symptoms, a trichotomous severity of infection variable was derived (no or mild symptoms, moderate symptoms, severe symptoms or hospitalized) and used as our primary outcome of interest. Respondents who were hospitalized were placed in the highest severity category regardless of their self-reported infection severity. To our knowledge, no validated self-report tool currently exists to measure the severity of SARS-CoV-2 infection symptoms. However, similar four-point scales have been used in other studies assessing COVID-19 symptom severity [33, 34].
Chronic conditions
Our primary explanatory variables of interest were pre-existing CCs. Participants were asked about 21 different CCs and their dates of diagnosis (year and month if the diagnosis was in 2020 onward and only the year if it was before 2020). CCs were defined as conditions lasting or expected to last at least six months that were diagnosed by a health professional. Rare CCs (liver disease and Alzheimer鈥檚 disease or other dementia) were not examined as their frequencies were too low. Additionally, the 鈥渙ther chronic conditions鈥 variable was not examined as the conditions contributing to the category are unknown. However, all three of these CC options were included in the total number of pre-existing CCs covariate. As the survey did not capture date of diagnosis for cancer, it was excluded from the analyses as a pre-existing CC but was considered as a covariate in the regression models. For the remaining CCs, only those diagnosed before a respondent鈥檚 first confirmed or suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection were considered pre-existing in the analyses. When only the year of CC diagnosis was provided, and it was the same as the year of reported SARS-CoV-2 infection, the CC status was set to missing as its pre-existence was not establishable. If the month and year of the CC and the infection were the same, it was assumed that the condition existed prior to infection. If the month and the year of the CC were missing, it was assumed that the condition existed prior to infection. We made this assumption for two reasons. First, it is more difficult to recall dates of events occurring in the distant past, so respondents diagnosed in the distant past may not have been able to recall their diagnosis date [35]. Second, it is more likely that the chronic condition was diagnosed prior to infection because of the number of lived years prior to infection compared to the number of lived years between infection and questionnaire completion. Further analysis of our analytic sample substantiated our approach. First, among infected adults, chronic conditions with missing date of diagnosis information were reported by 65 plus-years-olds 63.2% of the time while chronic conditions with date of diagnosis information were reported by 65 plus-years-olds 34.8% of the time (p鈥<鈥0.0001). Second, after excluding chronic conditions with missing date of diagnosis information from our analytic sample, we found that 96.7% of all 18 chronic conditions reported by infected adults were diagnosed prior to SARS-CoV-2 infection. Finally, the proportion of infected adults with a specific chronic condition who did not provide date of diagnosis information never exceeded 3.4% for each of the 18 chronic conditions examined separately. Consequently, the impact of any misclassification resulting from our approach would be minimal. Respondents not completing the CC section of the survey were assumed to have none of the CCs.
Other explanatory variables
Covariates considered for the regression models include sex at birth, gender, age, sexual orientation, highest household education, ethnicity, dwelling type, place of residence (urban/rural), remoteness index, national and area-based neighbourhood income quintile, Canadian Index of Multiple Deprivation dimensions, region of residence, smoking status, body mass index (BMI), cancer status, number of pre-existing CCs, pre-existing chronic health symptoms (CHSs), number of pre-existing CHSs, disability status, number of COVID-19 vaccine doses before infection, time since last vaccination prior to infection, SARS-CoV-2 testing status, time period of first infection, and household member testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection. When the number of respondents with an unknown or missing value for a covariate was 30 or greater with at least 5 respondents in each of the severity of infection categories, an unknown category was defined for the covariate and included in all analyses; otherwise, the missing or unknown data were excluded from all analyses. This approach maximized the number of respondents retained for modeling while ensuring confidentiality requirements were satisfied. Area-based neighbourhood income quintiles are based on a ranking of neighbourhood incomes within each census metropolitan area, census agglomeration and residual neighbourhoods within a province. National neighbourhood income quintiles are based on a ranking of neighbourhood incomes using a national distribution rather than area-based. A community鈥檚 index of remoteness is determined by its distance to all population centres defined by Statistics Canada in a given travel radius, as well as their population size [36]. The Canadian Index of Multiple Deprivation dimensions included economic dependency, ethno-cultural composition, residential instability, and situational vulnerability. More information about how these dimensions are defined can be found on the Statistics Canada website [37].
Respondents were asked about 34 CHSs. Similar to the CCs, rare CHSs (fainting, difficulty swallowing, and loss of taste or smell) and 鈥渙ther鈥 CHSs were not specifically examined for reasons previously explained, but were included in the total number of CHSs covariate. As CHSs can result from a SARS-CoV-2 infection, CHSs were considered pre-existing if they first started at least two months prior to the SARS-CoV-2 infection. Otherwise, the pre-existence of each CHS was established using the same approach used for the CCs.
Analysis
Descriptive statistics include weighted proportions with 95% confidence intervals (CI) calculated using the Clopper-Pearson (exact) method. The design-based first-order Rao-Scott test of association was used to test for group differences (alpha鈥=鈥0.05, two-tailed).
Multivariable ordinal logistic regression employing complete case analysis was used to determine which CCs were independently associated with severity of infection symptoms. The resulting odds ratio is an estimate of the odds of more severe infection and is assumed to be constant over cumulated lower levels of severity. Considering the large number of variables to be assessed combined with the increased sampling error associated with the analysis of complex survey data, a stepwise selection process was implemented. Briefly, sex at birth, age group at infection, and all CCs were always retained in the model. All other covariates associated with the outcome of interest at an alpha level of 0.10 (two-tailed) during univariable modeling were added one at a time based on the rankings of univariable p-values. If the added covariate was significant at an alpha level of 0.05 (two-tailed) after adjusting for previously selected variables, it was retained, otherwise it was excluded from further consideration. If the addition of a covariate resulted in a previously selected covariate becoming non-significant (p鈥>鈥0.05), the non-significant covariate was permanently removed from the model. This process continued until all initially eligible covariates were assessed. When the main effects model was established, interactions between each retained variable and sex were tested (alpha鈥=鈥0.05, two-tailed), one at a time, using product terms. Significant interactions were addressed by adding product terms to the final model. Four sensitivity analyses were conducted, repeating the multivariable modelling approach with severity of the first infection as the outcome. The first limited the analytic sample to those reporting a positive polymerase chain reaction or rapid antigen test. The second considered the duration of pre-existing CCs by creating trichotomous CC variables as follows: no CC, CC diagnosed less than 10 years prior to infection, and CC diagnosed 10 or more years prior to infection. The third redefined severity of first infection as a binary variable, distinguishing between adults with severe symptoms or hospitalized and those with moderate, mild, or no symptoms. The last excluded those with missing chronic condition diagnosis dates from the analytic sample to assess any potential bias introduced by our approach to handling missing data. All analyses used sampling and bootstrap weights to account for the complex survey design.
Statistical analyses were performed using SAS version 9.4 (SAS Institute Inc., Cary, NC).
Ethics approval and consent to participate
This study was exempt from research ethics board review under article 2.2 of the Tri-Council Policy Statement: Ethical Conduct for Research Involving Humans 鈥 TCPS 2 (2022) [38]. Our study involved analysis of previously collected anonymized survey data; did not involve linkage to additional data sources; did not include direct follow-up or contact of respondents; and, adhered to the data providers terms and conditions of access, use, and dissemination.
All processes of the CCAHS-2 were reviewed and approved by the Health Canada and Public Health Agency of Canada Research Ethics Board to ensure that internationally recognized ethical standards for human research were met. During the conduct of the survey, adults received invitations by mail that detailed the purpose of the survey and all its components, as well as their right to withdraw from any part of the survey at any time. Completion of the online questionnaire implied consent and captured the respondent鈥檚 consent to share their data with specific third parties.
Results
Table听1 displays the characteristics of adults in Canada self-reporting a first confirmed or suspected infection overall and by severity of infection. Of note, 13 of 18 CCs and nearly all covariates examined were significantly associated with severity of infection. Covariates associated with adults being disproportionately distributed in more severe infection categories included: female sex, female gender, obesity, having a disability, having a suspected infection, being infected prior to the Omicron wave, being unvaccinated or less recently vaccinated prior to infection, reporting any of the specific pre-existing CHSs, and having a greater number of pre-existing chronic conditions or symptoms. Contrarily, having a household member with a confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection was associated with a less severe infection.
In the fully adjusted model, 6 of the 18 pre-existing CCs remained significantly associated with severity of infection after adjusting for other important covariates. Pre-existing chronic lung disease (CLC) (adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 1.64, 95% CI: 1.09, 2.46), high blood pressure (HBP) (aOR: 1.35, 95% CI: 1.13, 1.62), weakened immune system (WIS) (aOR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.08, 1.98), chronic fatigue syndrome (CFS) or fibromyalgia (aOR: 2.20, 95% CI: 1.39, 3.50), and arthritis (aOR: 1.28, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.56) were associated with higher odds of more severe infection (Table听2). Conversely, pre-existing osteoporosis was associated with lower odds of a more severe infection (aOR: 0.58, 95% CI: 0.39, 0.87).
With respect to retained covariates, being female, unvaccinated or vaccinated more than 3 months prior to infection, having a pre-existing CHS or specifically reporting pre-existing fatigue or loss of appetite, and living in a more ethnically diverse neighbourhood were associated with higher odds of more severe infection compared to the respective reference groups. Being 65 years old or older at infection or East or Southeast Asian, getting infected on or after December 1st, 2021, having a household member who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection, and residing in a neighbourhood classified in the highest quintile of situational vulnerability were associated with a lower odds of more severe infection compared to the respective reference groups.
In the first sensitivity analysis, restricting the modelling to respondents with a confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection resulted in some changes (Table听3). For CCs, arthritis (aOR: 1.11; 95% CI: 0.84, 1.42) was no longer significant, whereas having a pre-existing mental health condition was associated with a higher odds of more severe infection (aOR: 1.32; 95% CI: 1.05, 1.66). For covariates, ethnicity, time since last vaccination prior to infection, and pre-existing chronic fatigue were no longer significant, while body mass index, sadness/pessimism/hopelessness/depression (SPHD) (aOR: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.53, 0.95), and swelling (aOR: 1.85, 95% CI: 1.23, 2.79) became significant. Remoteness index also became significant with those living in remote or very remote communities having a significantly lower odds of more severe infection (aOR: 0.31; 95% CI: 0.13, 0.74). Sex significantly interacted with BMI: for males, excess body weight was associated with a higher odds of more severe infection while no association was noted for females. When examined by BMI category, the interaction indicated that the relationship between sex and severity of infection decreased in magnitude with increases in BMI: for underweight or normal weight (aOR: 1.64, 95% CI: 1.29, 2.10) and overweight adults (aOR: 1.24, 95% CI: 1.01, 1.54), females had a higher odds of more severe infection, but this relationship no longer existed among obese adults (aOR: 0.96, 95% CI: 0.75, 1.22).
When recoding the CCs as trichotomous variables to account for duration of chronic conditions prior to infection, the majority of the model remained the same (compare Table听2 with Table听4). Among the significant CCs, CLC, HBP, osteoporosis, and WIS had significant associations when the CC was diagnosed 10 or more years prior to infection. Only HBP and CFS had significant associations when the CC was diagnosed less than 10 years prior to infection. Notably, arthritis was no longer statistically significant and an interaction between bowel disorder and sex was observed. For males, there was no significant association between bowel disorders and severity of infection, but females diagnosed 10 or more years prior to infection had higher odds of a more severe infection than females without bowel disorders (aOR: 1.78, 95% CI: 1.15, 2.74). When examined by bowel disorders category, the odds of a more severe infection were higher for females than males among adults without bowel disorders (aOR: 1.29, 95% CI: 1.14, 1.45) or with bowel disorders diagnosed 10 or more years prior to infection (aOR: 4.16, 95% CI: 1.62, 10.68), but not among adults with bowel disorders diagnosed less than 10 years prior to infection (aOR: 1.06, 95% CI: 0.51, 2.18). For covariates, only fatigue was no longer statistically significant.
After dichotomizing the severity of infection variable, CLC, HBP, osteoporosis, WIS, and arthritis were no longer significant. However, CFS remained significant (aOR: 2.09, 95% CI: 1.23, 3.53) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) emerged as a newly significant CC (aOR: 0.38, 95% CI: 0.15, 0.92) (Table听5). For covariates, ethnicity, situational vulnerability, household member testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection, and pre-existing fatigue were no longer significant. Region of residence became significant with the Prairies being the only region showing a significant difference when compared to Ontario (aOR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.60, 0.94). Also, the number of pre-existing CCs became significant: the odds of a more severe infection were 1.72 (95% CI: 1.13, 2.61) times greater among adults with 2 CCs compared to adults with none of the CCs examined. As observed in the first sensitivity analysis, sex significantly interacted with BMI and followed the same patterns seen in Table听3.
Excluding individuals with missing chronic condition diagnosis dates resulted in little changes when compared to Table听2 (Table听6). Only pre-existing fatigue was no longer significant, while pre-existing symptoms relating to the heart became significant.
Discussion
We used data from a large population-based Canadian survey to examine relationships between pre-existing CCs and severity of acute SARS-CoV-2 infection. Among adults with a confirmed or suspected SARS-CoV-2 infection, six of the 21 examined CCs were significantly associated with more severe infection as measured by their impact on daily life. When limiting the analyses to confirmed infections, we found that those with pre-existing mental health conditions also had greater odds of more severe infection.
Depending on the CC, our findings deviate from or corroborate the existing evidence, which is mainly based on populations accessing health care services following infection. A systematic review identified strong relationships between COVID-19 severity, defined as mortality or the most severe outcome such as intensive care unit (ICU) admission, and chronic obstructive lung disease (COPD), chronic kidney disease, cardiovascular diseases, hypertension, and diabetes [39]. We also found that CLCs, including COPD, and hypertension were significantly associated with more severe infection. However, we found no relationship for diabetes and chronic kidney disease. For those with a weakened immune system, our findings support the evidence that the immunocompromised subpopulation is at increased risk of severe SARS-CoV-2 infection outcomes [40, 41]. The lack of association between certain CCs and severity of infection could be caused, at least in part, by the correlations between CCs. For example, among adults with confirmed and suspected infections, those with hypertension were about six times more likely to have diabetes (19.6% vs. 3.3%, p鈥<鈥0.0001) and about five times more likely to have chronic kidney disease (2.0% vs.0.4%, p鈥<鈥0.0001) compared to those without hypertension.
A Swedish study found that a SARS-CoV-2 infection can be a potent trigger for reactivation of latent herpes viruses and endogenous retroviruses in those with pre-existing CFS [42]. There is a paucity of research evaluating COVID-19 severity in those with pre-existing fibromyalgia; we identified only one study, which found no association between fibromyalgia and hospitalization for COVID-1927. One proposed mechanism is that since fibromyalgia is triggered by mental stress and anxiety, the indirect impact of the COVID-19 pandemic could have triggered a more severe manifestation of fibromyalgia that coincided with an actual infection [43].
Potential contributors to differing results between this study and existing evidence are the source population of participants and methods of measuring severity of infection. Our study did not require a healthcare encounter for eligibility and captured a broader spectrum of severity of infection while most other studies identified participants from those seeking care for their symptoms and focussed on severe outcomes like hospitalization, ICU admission or death. Individuals who seek medical care for COVID-19 are likely having more severe symptoms or perceive their symptoms as severe enough to seek care. Additionally, individuals who have died due to COVID-19 were not captured by CCAHS-2. If this population had been captured, stronger relationships for several CCs and covariates may have been observed [44, 45]. This methodological difference could also explain some of our counterintuitive findings. Specifically, significant protective effects were associated with being male, aged 65鈥+鈥墆ears at infection, and living in a remote community and/or neighbourhood with high situational vulnerability (i.e., low education level, high Indigenous composition, and high proportion of dwellings in need of major repairs), all characteristics related to a higher risk of mortality from COVID-19 [44,46]. It can also explain why no significant relationship was found for diabetes and CKD, as those living with these CCs have a higher risk of mortality following SARS-CoV-2 infection than those without the respective CC [47, 48].
This limitation may also help explain the observed significant protective effect of osteoporosis. Ahn et al. found that individuals with a history of osteoporosis who contracted a SARS-CoV-2 infection did not experience significant differences in most clinical outcomes compared to those without such a history [49]. However, osteoporosis patients with a history of fracture had an elevated risk of severe complications, while osteoporosis patients without fractures had a lower risk compared to those without osteoporosis. Given that fractures are a common consequence of osteoporosis, and osteoporosis patients with fractures tend to experience high mortality rates regardless of COVID-19 status, excluding this high-risk subpopulation may bias the results toward a protective effect [50, 51].
For the other covariates, our findings support the literature showing more severe infections were associated with pre-Omicron infections [52] and being unvaccinated or not recently vaccinated [53]. The protective effect of having a household member testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection could result from being better prepared for the perceived impacts of the infection.
Limiting the modeling to adults with confirmed infections had an impact on some of the variables retained and adjusted associations. This may be due to excluding suspected infections that were unrelated to SARS-CoV-2, as well as clinical differences in patients with confirmed vs. suspected infections. Observed differences may also arise from the exclusion of adults suspecting an infection earlier in the pandemic when testing capacity was limited and health outcomes were worse [52].
Redefining the CC variables to include duration of CC (diagnosed either less than 10 years or 10 or more years prior to infection) resulted in minimal changes to the retained variables and adjusted associations. Sex and pre-existing chronic bowel disorders significantly interacted in their relationship with SARS-CoV-2 infection severity. To our knowledge, this interaction has not been previously identified and may reflect sex differences in the experiences of people with inflammatory bowel disorders. Other research indicates that females experience a worse quality of life and higher psychological distress than males, while males experience more bowel-related surgeries and higher mortality risk than females [54, 55].
When severity was redefined as a binary variable, many of the CCs loss statistical significance. This could be attributed to misclassification of moderate and severe infection symptoms biasing associations toward the null, the addition of number of pre-existing chronic conditions to the model, or the greater importance of other included covariates when examining associations with severe infections.
Excluding individuals with missing chronic condition diagnosis dates from the analytical sample resulted in minimal changes to the final model. Pre-existing fatigue was no longer significant, while pre-existing symptoms relating to the heart became significant. Most odds ratios were unaffected. These results indicate that our approach for handling adults with missing chronic condition diagnosis dates did not introduce bias.
To our knowledge, there is limited research reporting interactions between BMI and sex when examining severity of SARS-CoV-2 infections. A Brazilian study looking at mortality amongst obese individuals hospitalized with COVID-19 found that the more obese a male was, the higher were the odds of mortality, whereas the odds of death among females increased only among those with a BMI of 鈮モ50听kg/m2 [56]. Additionally, Yamamoto et al. found that higher BMI was associated with lower SARS-CoV-2 spike antibody titers from vaccination in men, but not in females [57]. This suggests that vaccinated males with higher BMI are more at risk for severe COVID-19 outcomes than vaccinated females of comparable BMI which aligns with our findings.
Strengths and limitations
The primary strength of our study is that it is population-based and considers a wide range of individual characteristics. CCAHS-2 captured dates for SARS-CoV-2 infection, CC diagnosis, chronic health symptom occurrence, and vaccination. Using this data, we were able to determine the temporality of CCs, CHSs and vaccinations in relation to the infection. We also included individuals who suspected they had a SARS-CoV-2 infection but could not access COVID-19 testing or chose not to be tested. This approach increases the applicability of our findings to the general population.
One of the limitations of this study is that those who have died due to COVID-19-related causes were not included. Consequently, the subpopulation who had the most severe SARS-CoV-2 infections were not included in the statistical modelling which could have resulted in lower odds ratio estimates for pre-existing CCs. This effect would be greater for CCs that have established links to higher COVID-19-related mortality. Although the focus of this study was to estimate the impact on daily lives, including the subpopulation who died would have generated more universally interpretable estimates. Another limitation is that a respondent may have been unknowingly infected prior to their first reported SARS-CoV-2 infection. As a result, the severity of their first reported infection could be influenced by CHSs from long COVID. Additional limitations are inherent with survey data, such as selection bias, recall error, lack of objective measures of infection severity, and inaccurate infection status information. While the validity of self-reported data is subject to many biases, it remains a valuable and commonly used tool for assessing a respondent鈥檚 subjective experiences. Additionally, rigorous planning and quality assurance were undertaken at all stages of the survey design and conduct to mitigate the impact of these biases [32, 35]. Only 25.3% of adults invited to participate were included in the share file used for analysis. As outlined in the methodology, variables highly correlated with responding to the survey were used to adjust survey weights to minimize non-response bias arising from identified differences between respondents and non-respondents. Although weights were adjusted for non-response and calibrated to reflect the target population using auxiliary information, the potential for biased estimates remains if those who participated and agreed to share their data systematically differed from the target population in ways not corrected through weighting. The low response rate also compromised the study鈥檚 power to detect statistically significant associations. Due to limited testing capacity early in the pandemic, we included adults who reported a suspected infection in our main analyses; however, some suspected infections may have been the consequence of conditions or infections unrelated to SARS-CoV-2. Conversely, other respondents may have been unaware of a past SARS-CoV-2 infection or may have inappropriately ascribed COVID-19 symptoms to other conditions or infections. To partly address these issues, we performed sensitivity analyses that limited modeling to adults testing positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection.
Conclusion
The aim of this study was to characterize the association between pre-existing CCs and SARS-COV-2 infection severity among the Canadian adult population by measuring impacts on daily life. The findings suggest that a greater focus should be placed on those who are immunocompromised or have pre-existing CLC, hypertension, fibromyalgia or CFS, arthritis, or mental health condition. Individuals living with these CCs should be informed of the greater impact a SARS-CoV-2 infection can have on their lives so they can take measures to reduce their risk of infection. Targeted prevention strategies and early interventions in this population can help minimize the impact of infection and the burden on health resource.
Data availability
The dataset (Canadian COVID-19 Antibody and Health Survey - Cycle 2) supporting the conclusions of this article is the data is available through Statistics Canada鈥檚 Research Data Centres (RDC).
Abbreviations
- aOR:
-
adjusted odds ratio
- BD:
-
bowel disease
- BMI:
-
body mass index
- CC:
-
chronic condition
- CCAHS-2:
-
Canadian COVID-19 Antibody and Health Survey
- CFS:
-
chronic fatigue syndrome
- CHS:
-
chronic health symptom
- CI:
-
confidence interval
- CKD:
-
chronic kidney disease
- CLC:
-
chronic lung condition
- COPD:
-
chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
- CVD:
-
cardiovascular disease
- EQ:
-
electronic questionnaire
- HBP:
-
high blood pressure
- WIS:
-
weakened immune system
References
World Health Organization (WHO). WHO Director-General鈥檚 opening remarks at the media briefing on COVID-19鈥11 March 2020 [Internet]. Geneva: WHO; 2020 [cited 2024 Feb 16]. Available from:
Murphy TJ, Swail H, Jain J, Anderson M, Awadalla A, Behl L, Brown PE, Charlton CL, Colwill K, Drews SJ, Gingras AC, Hinshaw D, Jha P, Kanji JN, Kirsh VA, Lang ALS, Langlois MA, Lee S, Lewin A, O鈥橞rien SF, Pambrun C, Skead K, Stephens DA, Stein DR, Tipples G, Van Caeseele PG, Evans TG, Oxlade O, Mazer BD, Buckeridge DL. The evolution of SARS-CoV-2 Seroprevalence in Canada: a time-series study, 2020鈥2023. CMAJ. 2023. .
Onyeaka H, Anumudu CK, Al-Sharify ZT, Egele-Godswill E, Mbaegbu P. COVID-19 pandemic: A review of the global lockdown and its far-reaching effects. Sci Prog. 2021. .
Klaiber P, Wen JH, DeLongis A, Sin NL. The ups and downs of daily life during COVID-19: age differences in affect, stress, and positive events. J Gerontol B Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 2021. .
Ammar A, Chtourou H, Boukhris O, Trabelsi K, Masmoudi L, Brach M, Bouaziz B, Bentlage E, How D, Ahmed M, Mueller P, Mueller N, Hsouna H, Aloui A, Hammouda O, Paineiras-Domingos LL, Braakman-Jansen A, Wrede C, Bastoni S, Pernambuco CS, Mataruna L, Taheri M, Irandoust K, Khacharem A, Bragazzi NL, Strahler J, Washif JA, Andreeva A, Khoshnami SC, Samara E, Zisi V, Sankar P, Ahmed WN, Romdhani M, Delhey J, Bailey SJ, Bott NT, Gargouri F, Chaari L, Batatia H, Ali GM, Abdelkarim O, Jarraya M, El Abed K, Souissi N, Van Gemert-Pijnen L, Riemann BL, Riemann L, Moalla W, G贸mez-Raja J, Epstein M, Sanderman R, Schulz S, Jerg A, Al-Horani R, Mansi T, Jmail M, Barbosa F, Ferreira-Santos F, 艩imuni膷 B, Pi拧ot R, Pi拧ot S, Gaggioli A, Zmijewski P, Apfelbacher C, Steinacker J, Ben Saad H, Glenn JM, Chamari K, Driss T, Hoekelmann A. On behalf of the ECLB-COVID consortium. COVID-19 home confinement negatively impacts social participation and life satisfaction: A worldwide multicenter study. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health; 2020. .
Public Health Agency of Canada. From risk to resilience: An equity approach to COVID-19 [Internet], Ottawa PHAC. 2024 [cited 2024 Mar 1]. Available from:
Kuang S, Earl S, Clarke J, Zakaria D, Demers A, Aziz S. Experiences of Canadians with long-term symptoms following COVID-19. Insights on Canadian Society [Internet]. 2023 Dec 8 [cited 2024 Feb 16]. Available from:
Drozd M, Pujades-Rodriguez M, Lillie PJ, Straw S, Morgan AW, Kearney MT, Witte KK, Cubbon RM. Non-communicable disease, sociodemographic factors, and risk of death from infection: a UK biobank observational cohort study. Lancet Infect Dis. 2021. .
Aggarwal G, Cheruiyot I, Aggarwal S, Wong J, Lippi G, Lavie CJ, Henry BM, Sanchis-Gomar F. Association of cardiovascular disease with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) severity: A Meta-Analysis. Curr Probl Cardiol. 2020. .
Arif YA, Stefanko AM, Garcia N, Beshai DA, Fan W, Wong ND. Estimated atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease risk: disparities and severe COVID-19 outcomes (from the National COVID cohort Collaborative). Am J Cardiol. 2022. .
Williams SG, Frain S, Guo H, Carr MJ, Ashcroft DM, Keavney BD. Clinical risk associated with COVID-19 among 86000 patients with congenital heart disease. Open Heart. 2023. .
McGurnaghan SJ, Weir A, Bishop J, Kennedy S, Blackbourn LAK, McAllister DA, Hutchinson S, Caparrotta TM, Mellor J, Jeyam A, O鈥橰eilly JE, Wild SH, Hatam S, H枚hn A, Colombo M, Robertson C, Lone N, Murray J, Butterly E, Petrie J, Kennon B, McCrimmon R, Lindsay R, Pearson E, Sattar N, McKnight J, Philip S, Collier A, McMenamin J, Smith-Palmer A, Goldberg D, McKeigue PM, Colhoun HM, Scottish Diabetes Research Network Epidemiology Group. Public Health Scotland COVID-19 Health Protection Study Group,. Risks of and risk factors for COVID-19 disease in people with diabetes: a cohort study of the total population of Scotland. The Lancet Diabetes & Endocrinology. 2020;
Stidsen JV, Green A, Rosengaard L, H酶jlund K. Risk of severe COVID-19 infection in persons with diabetes during the first and second waves in Denmark: A nationwide cohort study. Front Endocrinol. 2022. .
Boye KS, Tokar Erdemir E, Zimmerman N, Reddy A, Benneyworth BD, Dabora MC, Hankosky ER, Bethel MA, Clark C, Lensing CJ, Sailer S, San Juan R, Heine RJ, Etemad L. Risk factors associated with COVID-19 hospitalization and mortality: A large Claims-Based analysis among people with type 2 diabetes mellitus in the united States. Diabetes Ther. 2021. .
Fond G, Nemani K, Etchecopar-Etchart D, Loundou A, Goff DC, Lee SW, Lancon C, Auquier P, Baumstarck K, Llorca PM, Yon DK, Boyer L. Association between mental health disorders and mortality among patients with COVID-19 in 7 countries: A systematic review and Meta-analysis. JAMA Psychiatry. 2021. .
Hassan L, Peek N, Lovell K, Carvalho AF, Solmi M, Stubbs B, Firth J. Disparities in COVID-19 infection, hospitalisation and death in people with schizophrenia, bipolar disorder, and major depressive disorder: a cohort study of the UK biobank. Mol Psychiatry. 2021. .
Kubota T, Kuroda N. Exacerbation of neurological symptoms and COVID-19 severity in patients with preexisting neurological disorders and COVID-19: A systematic review. Clin Neurol Neurosurg. 2021. .
Chung SJ, Chang Y, Jeon J, Shin JI, Song TJ, Kim J. Associations of Alzheimer鈥檚 disease with COVID-19 susceptibility and severe complications: A nationwide cohort study. J Alzheimer鈥檚 Disease. 2022. .
Yoo J, Kim JH, Jeon J, Kim J, Song TJ. Risk of COVID-19 infection and of severe complications among people with epilepsy. Neurology. 2022. .
Figueroa-Parra G, Gilbert EL, Valenzuela-Almada MO, Vallejo S, Neville MR, Patel NJ, Cook C, Fu X, Hagi R, McDermott GC, Dilorio MA, Masto L, Vanni KMM, Kowalski E, Qian G, Zhang Y, Wallace ZS, Duarte-Garc铆a A, Sparks JA. Risk of severe COVID-19 outcomes associated with rheumatoid arthritis and phenotypic subgroups: a retrospective, comparative, multicentre cohort study. Lancet Rheumatol. 2022. .
Sato A, Ludwig J, Howell T. A retrospective cohort study on COVID-19 at 2 Los Angeles hospitals: older age, low triage oxygenation, and chronic kidney disease among the top risk factors associated with in-hospital mortality. PLoS ONE. 2022. .
Kravitz MB, Yakubova E, Yu N, Park SY. Severity of sleep apnea and COVID-19 illness. OTO Open. 2021. .
Maas MB, Kim M, Malkani RG, Abbott SM, Zee PC. Obstructive sleep apnea and risk of COVID-19 infection, hospitalization, and respiratory failure. Sleep Breath. 2020. .
Wingert A, Pillay J, Gates M, Guitard S, Rahman S, Beck A, Vandermeer B, Hartling L. Risk factors for severity of COVID-19: a rapid review to inform vaccine prioritisation in Canada. BMJ Open. 2021. .
Otunla A, Rees K, Dennison P, Hobbs R, Suklan J, Schofield E, Gunnell J, Mighiu A, Hartmann-Boyce J. Risks of infection, hospital and ICU admission, and death from COVID-19 in people with asthma: systematic review and meta-analyses. BMJ Evidence-Based Med. 2022. .
Myers LC, Murray R, Donato B, Liu VX, Kipnis P, Shaikh A, Franchino-Elder J. Risk of hospitalization in a sample of COVID-19 patients with and without chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Respir Med. 2023. .
Amital M, Ben-Shabat N, Amital H, Buskila D, Cohen AD, Amital D. COVID-19 associated hospitalization in 571 patients with fibromyalgia鈥擜 population-based study. PLoS ONE. 2021. .
Lukin DJ, Kumar A, Hajifathalian K, Sharaiha RZ, Scherl EJ, Longman RS, Jill Roberts Center Study Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Gastrointestinal Study Group. Baseline disease activity and steroid therapy stratify risk of COVID-19 in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. Gastroenterology. 2020. .
Biddle N, Korda R. The experience of COVID-19 in Australia, including long-COVID - Evidence from the COVID-19 Impact Monitoring Survey Series, August 2022. ANU Centre for Social Research and Methods. 2022. . Accessed Oct 30 2024.
National Center for Health Statistics. U.S. Census Bureau, Household Pulse Survey, 2022鈥2024. Long COVID [Internet]. US: CDC; 2024 [cited 2024 Oct 30]. Available from:
Office for National Statistics. Coronavirus (COVID-19) Infection Survey: technical data [Internet]. UK: ONS. 2023 [cited 2024 Oct 30]. Available from:
Statistics Canada. Canadian COVID-19 Antibody and Health Survey (CCAHS) [Internet]. Ottawa: Statistics Canada. 2024 [cited 2024 Mar 1]. Available from:
Larsson SB, von Feilitzen GS, Andersson ME, Sikora P, Lindh M, Nord茅n R, Nilsson S, Sigstr枚m R. Self-reported symptom severity, general health, and impairment in post-acute phases of COVID-19: retrospective cohort study of Swedish public employees. Sci Rep. 2022. .
Eloy P, Tardivon C, Martin-Blondel G, Isnard M, Le Turnier P, Le Marechal M, Cabi茅 A, Launay O, Tattevin P, Senneville E, Ansart S, Goehringer F, Chirouze C, Bousson L, Laou茅nan C, Etienne M, Nguyen D, Ghosn J, Duval X. Severity of self-reported symptoms and psychological burden 6-months after hospital admission for COVID-19: a prospective cohort study. Int J Infect Dis. 2021. .
Althubaiti A. Information bias in health research: definition, pitfalls, and adjustment methods. J Multidisciplinary Healthc. 2016. .
Statistics Canada. Index of Remoteness, 2016 [Internet]. Ottawa: Statistics Canada. 2024. Available from:
Statistics Canada. The Canadian Index of Multiple Deprivation: User Guide [Internet]. Ottawa: Statistics Canada. 2019 [cited 2024 Mar 1]. Available from:
Government of Canada. TCPS 2. (2022) 鈥 Chap. 2: Scope and Approach. CA: Statistics Canada; 2023 [cited 2024 Mar 1]. Available from:
Izcovich A, Ragusa MA, Tortosa F, Lavena Marzio MA, Agnoletti C, Bengolea A, Ceirano A, Espinosa F, Saavedra E, Sanguine V, Tassara A, Cid C, Catalano HN, Agarwal A, Foroutan F, Rada G. Prognostic factors for severity and mortality in patients infected with COVID-19: A systematic review. PLoS ONE. 2020. .
Evans RA, Dube S, Lu Y, Yates M, Arnetorp S, Barnes E, Bell S, Carty L, Evans K, Graham S, Justo N, Moss P, Venkatesan S, Yokota R, Ferreira C, McNulty R, Taylor S, Quint JK. Impact of COVID-19 on immunocompromised populations during the Omicron era: insights from the observational population-based INFORM study. Lancet Reg Health Europe. 2023. .
Parker EPK, Desai S, Marti M, Nohynek H, Kaslow DC, Kochhar S, O鈥橞rien KL, Hombach J, Wilder-Smith A. Response to additional COVID-19 vaccine doses in people who are immunocompromised: a rapid review. Lancet Glob Health. 2022. .
Apostolou E, Rizwan M, Moustardas P, Sj枚gren P, Bertilson BC, Brag茅e B, Polo O, Ros茅n A. Saliva antibody-fingerprint of reactivated latent viruses after mild/asymptomatic COVID-19 is unique in patients with myalgic-encephalomyelitis/chronic fatigue syndrome. Front Immunol. 2022. .
Fialho MFP, Brum ES, Oliveira SM. Could the fibromyalgia syndrome be triggered or enhanced by COVID-19? Inflammopharmacology. 2023;
Williamson EJ, Walker AJ, Bhaskaran K, Bacon S, Bates C, Morton CE, Curtis HJ, Mehrkar A, Evans D, Inglesby P, Cockburn J, McDonald HI, MacKenna B, Tomlinson L, Douglas IJ, Rentsch CT, Mathur R, Wong AYS, Grieve R, Harrison D, Forbes H, Schultze A, Croker R, Parry J, Hester F, Harper S, Perera R, Evans SJW, Smeeth L, Goldacre B. Factors associated with COVID-19-related death using opensafely. Nature. 2020. .
Clift AK, Coupland CAC, Keogh RH, Diaz-Ordaz K, Williamson E, Harrison EM, Hayward A, Hemingway H, Horby P, Mehta N, Benger J, Khunti K, Spiegelhalter D, Sheikh A, Valabhji J, Lyons RA, Robson J, Semple MG, Kee F, Johnson P, Jebb S, Williams T, Hippisley-Cox J. Living risk prediction algorithm (QCOVID) for risk of hospital admission and mortality from coronavirus 19 in adults: National derivation and validation cohort study. BMJ. 2020. .
O鈥橞rien J, Du KY, Peng C. Incidence, clinical features, and outcomes of COVID-19 in Canada: impact of sex and age. J Ovarian Res. 2020. .
Li C, Islam N, Gutierrez JP, Guti茅rrez-Barreto SE, Prado AC, Moolenaar RL, Lacey B, Richter P. Associations of diabetes, hypertension and obesity with COVID-19 mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ Global Health. 2023. .
Dessie ZG, Zewotir T. Mortality-related risk factors of COVID-19: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 42 studies and 423,117 patients. 樱花视频 Infect Dis. 2021. .
Ahn SH, Seo SH, Jung CY, Yu DH, Kim Y, Cho Y, Seo DH, Kim SO, Yoo J, et al. Clinical outcomes of COVID-19 infection in patients with osteoporosis: a nationwide cohort study in Korea using the common data model. Sci Rep. 2024. .
Huo R, Wei C, Huang X, Yang Y, Huo X, Meng D, Huang R, Huang Y, Zhu X, Yang Y, Lin J. Mortality associated with osteoporosis and pathological fractures in the united States (1999鈥2020): a multiple-cause-of-death study. J Orthop Surg Res. 2024. .
Public Health Agency of Canada. Osteoporosis and related fractures in Canada: Report from the Canadian Chronic Disease Surveillance System 2020 [Internet]. Ottawa: PHAC, 2020 [cited 2025 Feb 1]. Available from:
Relan P, Motaze NV, Kothari K, Askie L, Le Polain O, Van Kerkhove MD, Diaz J, Tirupakuzhi Vijayaraghavan BK. Severity and outcomes of Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 compared to Delta variant and severity of Omicron sublineages: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ Global Health. 2023. .
Feikin DR, Higdon MM, Abu-Raddad LJ, Andrews N, Araos R, Goldberg Y, Groome MJ, Huppert A, O鈥橞rien KL, Smith PG, Wilder-Smith A, Zeger S, Deloria Knoll M, Patel MK. Duration of effectiveness of vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 infection and COVID-19 disease: results of a systematic review and meta-regression. Lancet. 2022. .
Lungaro L, Costanzini A, Manza F, Barbalinardo M, Gentili D, Guarino M, Caputo F, Zoli G, De Giorgio R, Caio G. Impact of female gender in inflammatory bowel diseases: A narrative review. J Pers Med. 2023. .
Salem DA, El-Ijla R, AbuMusameh RR, Zakout KA, Abu Halima AY, Abudiab MT, Banat YM, Alqeeq BF, Al-Tawil M, Matar K. Sex-related differences in profiles and clinical outcomes of inflammatory bowel disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis. 樱花视频 Gastroenterol. 2024. .
Dos Reis EC, de Freitas Monteiro EL, Meneguci J, Rodrigues P, Palma A, Virtuoso Junior JS, Passos SRL, Borges Dos Santos MA. Body mass index and sex differences for mortality in hospitalized COVID-19 patients: a path analysis using a Brazilian National database. 樱花视频. 2023. .
Yamamoto S, Mizoue T, Tanaka A, Oshiro Y, Inamura N, Konishi M, Ozeki M, Miyo K, Sugiura W, Sugiyama H, Ohmagari N. Sex-associated differences between BMI and SARS-CoV-2 antibody titers following the BNT162b2 vaccine. Obesity. 2022. .
Acknowledgements
The data from CCAHS-2 were made possible through a collaboration between the COVID-19 Immunity Task Force, the Public Health Agency of Canada, and Statistics Canada. The analyses, conclusions, opinions, and statements expressed herein are solely those of the authors.
Funding
Open Access funding provided by Health Canada.
All authors are employed by the Government of Canada
Author information
Authors and Affiliations
Contributions
NC conceptualized the study, performed all data analyses, and developed the first draft of the manuscript. Coauthors were involved in critical review of the methodology and revision of the manuscript. All authors read and approved the final manuscript for submission.
Corresponding author
Ethics declarations
Ethical approval
Our study was exempt from research ethics board review under article 2.2 of the Tri-Council Policy Statement: Ethical Conduct for Research Involving Humans 鈥 TCPS 2 (2022).
Consent to participate
Completion of the online questionnaire implied consent.
Consent for publication
Sharing agreements prohibit the publication of participant data.
Competing interests
The authors declare no competing interests.
Additional information
Publisher鈥檚 note
Springer Nature remains neutral with regard to jurisdictional claims in published maps and institutional affiliations.
Rights and permissions
Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article鈥檚 Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article鈥檚 Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit .
About this article
Cite this article
Cheta, N., Zakaria, D., Demers, A. et al. Association between pre-existing chronic conditions and severity of first SARS-CoV-2 infection symptoms among adults living in Canada: a population-based survey analysis from January 2020 to August 2022. 樱花视频 25, 981 (2025). https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-025-22041-7
Received:
Accepted:
Published:
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-025-22041-7