Fig. 3
Projection burden of incidence case, ASIR, DALYs and ASDR for alcohol use disorders (A, B), drug use disorders (C, D), interpersonal violence (E, F), and self harm (G, H), globally by sex group from 2022 to 2040. These projections were calculated using the Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort model, under the assumption that current trends will continue without major interventions. ASIR, age-standardized incidence rate; DALYs, disability-adjusted life years; ASDR, age-standardized DALYs rate